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| July 24, 2024 |
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| Andrew Bishop |
Senior Partner, Global Head of Policy Research
+1.202.440.1273 |
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US election: Kamala Harris foreign policy views
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| Key Takeaways |
- Vice presidents by virtue of their role are mandated to be discreet about their policy views in the instances where they differ from their president’s. In part as a result, not much is known about Vice President and presidential contender Kamala Harris’ thoughts on key foreign policy issues, save for Israel-Palestine, where she has been free – and even encouraged – to make her differences known, for domestic political purpose.
- The below aims not to be an exhaustive recap of everything that is known about Kamala Harris and foreign policy, but rather highlights the few most salient points we think worth being aware of.
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- Overall experience:
- “If elected, Harris would be the first president to have served on the [Senate Intelligence] committee, which was created in the 1970s” (Source)
- “On military affairs, Harris positioned herself as a dove in the Senate” (Source)
- Middle East:
- Israel: As is well known by now, ‘less supportive’.
- Iran:
- “[Her National Security Advisor Phil] Gordon previously served as former President Barack Obama’s top Middle East advisor in his second term, when Gordon emerged as one of the biggest boosters of the Iran nuclear deal” (Source)
- “She co-introduced the No War Against Iran Act in January 2020 when she was a senator. The act would deny funds for any unauthorized US military action against Iran” (Source)
- Ukraine:
- “if you look at who has been advising her […] you can see how she might be interested in following a more assertive pro-Ukraine, anti-Putin line than Biden and […] Jake Sullivan. Even looking at her Deputy National Security Adviser, Rebecca Friedman Lissner, you can see glimpses of a harder line policy on Russia possibly emerging” (Source)
- Lissner “directed the Russia Strategy Group, which is plotting out the long-term policy implications of the invasion. […] [S]he also has been heavily involved in the Russia-Ukraine “Tiger Team,” which has been gaming out potential contingencies of the conflict to help the Biden administration stay ahead of the war. Lissner and the team have also worked closely with the interagency process to plan for Russia’s next moves and how to respond” (Source)
- Europe:
- "There is an argument that the EU should have made more of an effort to cultivate relations with Harris, given Biden’s age,” said one senior EU official, like others speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive matters. “But on the other hand, she didn’t exactly make that easy. It wasn’t easy to find occasions to meet Harris” (Source)
- China:
- “Harris did not visit China either in her capacity as vice president or any previous role”
- “While Gordon and Lissner are respected foreign policy practitioners, neither have significant direct experience working on China” (Source)
- But: “Harris met briefly with Xi on the margins of the APEC Leaders Retreat in 2022” (Source)
- Though not determinative: “One notable difference btw Harris and Biden: she hasn't gone as far as Biden in repeatedly stating that the US would intervene should China attempt an invasion of Taiwan. (downplayed by the White House)” (Source)
- Trade:
- Against tariffs (Source)
- But protectionist in other ways (incl. more climate-oriented):
- "I would not have voted for NAFTA”
- “Also opposed TPP” (Source)
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